Global Warming or the Ice Age Cometh?
A recent Washington Post article gave this scientist's quote from 1972. "We simply cannot afford to gamble. We cannot risk inaction. The scientists who disagree are acting irresponsibly. The indications that our climate can soon change for the worse are too strong to be reasonably ignored." The warning was not about global warming (which was not happening): it was about global cooling! In the media, disaster is news, and its absence is not. This principle has been exploited so skillfully by ecological scare-mongers that it is now regarded as politically incorrect, even unscientific, to denounce global warming hysteria as unproven speculation. Meteorologists are a standing joke for getting predictions wrong even a few days ahead. The same jokers are being taken seriously when they use computer models to predict the weather 100 years hence. The models have not been tested for reliability over 100 years, or even 20 years. Different models yield variations in warming of 400%, which means they are statistically meaningless.
So, what is this debate really about? Al Gore is one of the leading characters involved in tossing this Global Warming football around. He's been very visible and politically loud on this issue. He has produced a very successful movie that has gotten a lot of attention (including an Oscar), and is enjoying a rebirth of his public persona... a rebirth that has the experts who track these things estimating that he has earned some $40,000,000 since leaving "public life" for the speaking circuit. Al Gore is many things, but a scientist is not any more an Al Gore credential than his later recanted self proclaimed title as the "Inventor of the Internet". Journalism is one of his credentials, although he has not practiced that craft since the Vietnam era. Public speaking is in his toolbox, but he does loose a grip on the facts (or science) in favor of his opinions. Those who know him agree that he is in love with his voice, particularly in front of groups. Regardless, he has been very effective scaring the Hell out of his listeners regarding Global Warming. Interesting to note, a quick search of Amazon.com reveals 21,916 book titles on the subject of "Global Warming" with costs running between $10 and $50 per title..... That represents a lot of bucks!!! Is any of this about money??
Dr. Tim Ball is a Canadian with a PH.d. in Climatology: "Since I obtained my doctorate in climatology from the University of London, Queen Mary College, England my career has spanned two climate cycles. Temperatures declined from 1940 to 1980 and in the early 1970's global cooling became the consensus. This proves that consensus is not a scientific fact. By the 1990's temperatures appeared to have reversed and Global Warming became the consensus. It appears I'll witness another cycle before retiring, as the major mechanisms and the global temperature trends now indicate a cooling. " And: "Global cooling could develop on Earth in 50 years and have serious consequences before it is replaced by a period of warming in the early 22nd century, a Russian Academy of Sciences’ astronomical observatory’s report says, the RIA Novosti news agency reported Friday. Environmentalists and scientists warn not about the dangers of global warming provoked by man’s detrimental effect on the planet’s climate, but global cooling. Though never widely supported, it is a theory postulating an overwhelming cooling of the Earth which could involve glaciation. “On the basis of our [solar emission] research, we developed a scenario of a global cooling of the Earth’s climate by the middle of this century and the beginning of a regular 200-year-long cycle of the climate’s global warming at the start of the 22nd century,” said the head of the space research sector.
It surely wouldn't be productive to begin lining up "experts" that support different sides of this issue. That could go on indefinitely and prove nothing except there are learned folks claiming the truth about Global Warming, and learned folks that claim there is no such thing as Global Warming. I have managed to live long enough that I have heard the Scientific Community claim that if we continue at our present rate of polluting, we will be entering another Ice Age and all will be lost....followed by "if we continue at our present rate of polluting we will warm the Earth to a point of destruction".
So..... who and what should we believe??
Along the way of passing through 65 years of experiencing life, I have been privileged to participate on the Scientific and design side of business. I have seen with my own eyes and heard with my own ears that everything I see, do, touch, smell, feel or have otherwise experienced has a life cycle. Food, the terrible twos and teenagers, moonlight, the seasons, electronics, artificial light, heat from the sun and sunspots all have cycles. In science, we calculate a factor we call "MTBF".... or "Mean Time Before Failure". It is the time from whence a device begins operating until it fails. It is similar in intent to the "Actuary Tables" an insurance company uses to calculate how long an individual will live based on the parameters in which the individual falls statistically. Statistics...an interesting subject based on averages and the differences between numbers that make up averages...or cycles.
Along the way the Earth will heat up and cool down. Eventually it too will fail as part of the cycle of life... And so I listen as I hear "the sky is falling" coming from this group or that. Someday it will........ In the meantime, for the next few milleneums, relax and be mindful and protective of Spaceship Earth......
So, what is this debate really about? Al Gore is one of the leading characters involved in tossing this Global Warming football around. He's been very visible and politically loud on this issue. He has produced a very successful movie that has gotten a lot of attention (including an Oscar), and is enjoying a rebirth of his public persona... a rebirth that has the experts who track these things estimating that he has earned some $40,000,000 since leaving "public life" for the speaking circuit. Al Gore is many things, but a scientist is not any more an Al Gore credential than his later recanted self proclaimed title as the "Inventor of the Internet". Journalism is one of his credentials, although he has not practiced that craft since the Vietnam era. Public speaking is in his toolbox, but he does loose a grip on the facts (or science) in favor of his opinions. Those who know him agree that he is in love with his voice, particularly in front of groups. Regardless, he has been very effective scaring the Hell out of his listeners regarding Global Warming. Interesting to note, a quick search of Amazon.com reveals 21,916 book titles on the subject of "Global Warming" with costs running between $10 and $50 per title..... That represents a lot of bucks!!! Is any of this about money??
Dr. Tim Ball is a Canadian with a PH.d. in Climatology: "Since I obtained my doctorate in climatology from the University of London, Queen Mary College, England my career has spanned two climate cycles. Temperatures declined from 1940 to 1980 and in the early 1970's global cooling became the consensus. This proves that consensus is not a scientific fact. By the 1990's temperatures appeared to have reversed and Global Warming became the consensus. It appears I'll witness another cycle before retiring, as the major mechanisms and the global temperature trends now indicate a cooling. " And: "Global cooling could develop on Earth in 50 years and have serious consequences before it is replaced by a period of warming in the early 22nd century, a Russian Academy of Sciences’ astronomical observatory’s report says, the RIA Novosti news agency reported Friday. Environmentalists and scientists warn not about the dangers of global warming provoked by man’s detrimental effect on the planet’s climate, but global cooling. Though never widely supported, it is a theory postulating an overwhelming cooling of the Earth which could involve glaciation. “On the basis of our [solar emission] research, we developed a scenario of a global cooling of the Earth’s climate by the middle of this century and the beginning of a regular 200-year-long cycle of the climate’s global warming at the start of the 22nd century,” said the head of the space research sector.
It surely wouldn't be productive to begin lining up "experts" that support different sides of this issue. That could go on indefinitely and prove nothing except there are learned folks claiming the truth about Global Warming, and learned folks that claim there is no such thing as Global Warming. I have managed to live long enough that I have heard the Scientific Community claim that if we continue at our present rate of polluting, we will be entering another Ice Age and all will be lost....followed by "if we continue at our present rate of polluting we will warm the Earth to a point of destruction".
So..... who and what should we believe??
Along the way of passing through 65 years of experiencing life, I have been privileged to participate on the Scientific and design side of business. I have seen with my own eyes and heard with my own ears that everything I see, do, touch, smell, feel or have otherwise experienced has a life cycle. Food, the terrible twos and teenagers, moonlight, the seasons, electronics, artificial light, heat from the sun and sunspots all have cycles. In science, we calculate a factor we call "MTBF".... or "Mean Time Before Failure". It is the time from whence a device begins operating until it fails. It is similar in intent to the "Actuary Tables" an insurance company uses to calculate how long an individual will live based on the parameters in which the individual falls statistically. Statistics...an interesting subject based on averages and the differences between numbers that make up averages...or cycles.
Along the way the Earth will heat up and cool down. Eventually it too will fail as part of the cycle of life... And so I listen as I hear "the sky is falling" coming from this group or that. Someday it will........ In the meantime, for the next few milleneums, relax and be mindful and protective of Spaceship Earth......